Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)


	Austin FC		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.46	4.1	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.3	5.6
	1.51	4.25	5.59
	1.52	4.18	5.92	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.8
	1.5	4.33	6.12	Watch
	1.42	4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)	4.17 ↑ (3.82)	5.68 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
61.9%

Draw
22%

El Paso Locomotive
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

23.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Austin FC - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). El Paso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cleveland S. (G) 17. Gallagher J. 4. Hines-Ike B. (C) 18. Cascante J. 23. Kolmanic Z. 10. Uzuni M. 14. Sabovic B. 20. Dubersarsky N. 7. Obrian J. 9. Vazquez B. 21. Rubio D.	23. Waite J. (G) 18. Quezada A. 25. Ortiz A. (C) 6. Calvillo E. 3. Ackwei W. 8. Daroma F. 16. Gabriel Torres 12. Ruiz R. 13. Cabrera A. 10. Moreno A. 14. Avila R.
Substitutes
11. Bukari O. 29. Guilherme Biro 6. Sanchez I. 1. Stuver B. (G) 5. Svatok O. 16. Taylor R. 33. Wolff O.	20. Carter D. 30. Coronado R. 24. Diaz M. 9. Lopez F. 1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 11. Moshobane T. 5. Tony Alfaro
Coaches
Estevez N.	Cabrera W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', Moreno A. 🟨,
19', Obrian J. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Avila R. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Avila R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Rubio D. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
46', Obrian J. ↓, Bukari O. ↑,
60', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
60', Sabovic B. ↓, Wolff O. ↑,
62', Kolmanic Z. ↓, Guilherme Biro ↑,
70', Avila R. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Vazquez B. ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
76', 2 - 2, Uzuni M. ⚽, Vazquez B. (A),
80', 3 - 2, Vazquez B. ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
81', Quezada A. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
81', Moreno A. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
81', Gabriel Torres ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
85', Cabrera A. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
88', Wolff O. 🟨,

Preview

Austin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

El Paso is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.

In this match, Austin is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
03.05.25	Austin FC - Minnesota United	0:3 ✺
26.04.25	Houston Dynamo - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Austin FC	5:1 ✺
05.04.25	Austin FC - Portland Timbers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLT
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
03.05.25	El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United	3:0 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Texoma - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
19.04.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.04.25	Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWTWL

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