Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, Texas)

Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)


	Austin FC		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	1.92	3.65	3.75
	2.05	3.59	3.81
	2	3.4	3.7	Watch
	1.99	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2	3.45	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
47.8%

Draw
26.7%

Toronto FC
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.3%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

23.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Austin FC - Toronto FC Predictions

Users Predictions: Austin FC will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).

Austin has the most likely position - 12 (9.91%), project points - 42, currently - 13, a good chance of playoffs (53%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

Toronto has the most likely position - 15 (17.54%), project points - 40, currently - 13, a chance of playoffs (29%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 38, small importance 22, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Austin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Toronto is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Toronto have a series of home games.

Austin will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Austin: Kolmanic Z. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Alonso (Injury) Bradley M. (Muscle Injury) Hedges M. (Injury) O'Neill S. (Injury) Osorio J. (Injury) Perruzza J. (Injury) Rosted S. (Injury) Vazquez V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Austin: Driussi S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Toronto: Diomande A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
17.05.23	Seattle Sounders - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
13.05.23	Austin FC - FC Dallas	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
10.05.23	Austin FC - New Mexico United	2:0 ✺
MLS
06.05.23	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWTT
- Toronto FC
MLS
17.05.23	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	2:0 ✺
Canadian Championship
09.05.23	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	1:2 ✺
MLS
06.05.23	Toronto FC - New England Revolution	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Toronto FC - New York City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLW

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