Match Info

USA: US OPEN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, Texas)


	Austin FC		New Mexico United

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	5.25
	1.47	4.7	5.2
	1.54	4.41	5.78
	1.44	3.75	5.8
	1.5	4.33	5.65	Watch
	1.48	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)	4.25 ↑ (4.05)	5.51 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
61.8%

Draw
21.6%

New Mexico United
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

23.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Austin FC - New Mexico United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Austin is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches New Mexico is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Austin is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
06.05.23	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Austin FC - San Jose Earthquakes	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Austin FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Los Angeles - Austin FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLTL
- New Mexico United
USL Championship
05.05.23	Rio Grande Valley - New Mexico United	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	3:1 ✺
22.04.23	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - New Mexico United	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	New Mexico United - San Diego Loyal	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Monterey Bay - New Mexico United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTL

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