Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Wörthersee Stadion (Klagenfurt)

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Austria Klagenfurt		Ried

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4
	2	3.4	3.55
	2.09	3.5	3.35
	2.08	3.63	3.67
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.07	3.4	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.29)	3.46 ↑ (3.38)	3.48 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Klagenfurt
45.9%

Draw
27.2%

Ried
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.4%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Klagenfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austria Klagenfurt's performance.

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ried might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Klagenfurt than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.3%	31%	20.7%

Austria Klagenfurt - Ried Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Austria Klagenfurt will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%). Ried will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria Klagenfurt: 30.1% – 66.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Austria Klagenfurt has the most likely position - 12 (18.96%), has project points - 24, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ried has the most likely position - 11 (13.45%), has project points - 24, has currently - 4, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 35, small importance 20, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Austria Klagenfurt won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Austria Klagenfurt won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Austria Klagenfurt won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Klagenfurt
Austrian Bundesliga
07.08.22	Swarovski Tirol - Austria Klagenfurt	2:2 ✺
31.07.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Rapid Wien	0:1 ✺
23.07.22	LASK Linz - Austria Klagenfurt	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Southampton	0:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
15.07.22	Admira Dornbirn - Austria Klagenfurt	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLTW
- SV Ried
Austrian Bundesliga
06.08.22	Ried - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Ried - Austria Lustenau	1:0 ✺
24.07.22	Rapid Wien - Ried	1:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
16.07.22	Stadlau - Ried	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.22	Ried - Ujpest	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
27.02.22	Austria Klagenfurt - Ried	1:1
Austrian OFB Cup
04.02.22	Ried - Austria Klagenfurt	2:0
Austrian Bundesliga
02.10.21	Ried - Austria Klagenfurt	1:1
Austrian 2 Liga
21.02.20	Austria Klagenfurt - Ried	1:1
26.07.19	Ried - Austria Klagenfurt	1:3
26.05.19	Ried - Austria Klagenfurt	1:1
03.11.18	Austria Klagenfurt - Ried	0:0

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