Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Sports


	Laval		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.05
	3.5	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.59	3.32	2.24
	3.98	3.34	2.07
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.64	3.42	2.02	Watch
	3.4	3.35	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.91)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	2.08 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
26.4%

Draw
28.3%

Auxerre
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.7%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

28.2%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auxerre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auxerre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Laval - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Auxerre will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 12. Balde Y. 3. Baudry M. 15. Diaw E. 7. Vargas T. 6. Sanna S. 4. Roye J. (C) 28. Bobichon A. 20. Cherni A. 9. Kadile J. 11. Labeau R.	16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 14. Mensah G. 18. Diousse A. 97. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 7. Hein G. 17. Sinayoko L. 45. Onaiwu A.
Substitutes
27. Adeoti J. 39. Goncalves A. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 19. Mupemba N. 25. Seidou E. 18. Tchokounte M. 22. Thomas T.	6. Agouzoul S. 13. Akpa C. 19. Aye F. 28. Camara O. 2. Dagba C. 40. De Percin T. (G) 42. Owusu E.
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Pelissier C.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Laval won 2.

Recent matches Laval is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Auxerre is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Auxerre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Laval won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Laval won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Laval - Pau	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu - Laval	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Ajaccio - Laval	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Laval - Grenoble	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Dunkerque - Laval	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLTW
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Auxerre - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Saint-Meziery - Auxerre	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Concarneau - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Auxerre - Quevilly	3:2 ✺
25.11.23	Bastia - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.03.17	Laval - Auxerre	0:0
14.10.16	Auxerre - Laval	2:0
15.01.16	Laval - Auxerre	4:1
14.08.15	Auxerre - Laval	2:3
28.04.15	Auxerre - Laval	1:1
28.11.14	Laval - Auxerre	1:1
14.03.14	Laval - Auxerre	3:0

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