Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Auxerre		Bastia

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.8	5.5
	1.6	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.8	6
	1.58	4.06	6.22
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.59	4	5.8	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	3.91 ↓ (4.21)	5.68 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
59.6%

Draw
23.9%

Bastia
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.9%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Auxerre - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 13. Akpa C. 97. Raveloson R. 42. Owusu E. 10. Perrin G. 7. Hein G. 17. Sinayoko L. 19. Aye F.	30. Placide J. (G) 15. Bohnert F. 4. Roncaglia A. 99. Okou Y. 5. Drame I. 13. Ducrocq T. 66. Janneh J. 7. Vincent C. 14. Charbonier G. 21. Souboul M. 10. Alfarela M.
Substitutes
6. Agouzoul S. 8. Buayi-Kiala N. 35. Danois K. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 11. Maddy E. 45. Onaiwu A.	17. Bianchini F. 31. Conte F. 23. Fabri J. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 9. Santelli B. 26. Siby M. 42. Tavares D.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Laslandes L.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 1.

Auxerre is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Bastia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
17.02.24	Annecy - Auxerre	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Auxerre - Angers	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Pau - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Auxerre - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Grenoble - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTTT
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
17.02.24	Bastia - Rodez	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Quevilly - Bastia	0:1 ✺
05.02.24	Bastia - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Valenciennes - Bastia	3:1 ✺
23.01.24	Bastia - Caen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
25.11.23	Bastia - Auxerre	0:0
02.04.22	Bastia - Auxerre	1:1
25.10.21	Auxerre - Bastia	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
28.10.14	Bastia - Auxerre	3:1
07.11.12	Bastia - Auxerre	1:0

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