Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Auxerre		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.2
	1.72	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.69	3.65	4.5
	1.73	3.91	4.94
	1.75	3.5	4.4	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.89)	3.73 ↑ (3.31)	4.59 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
54.5%

Draw
25.1%

Nîmes
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

28.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Auxerre - Nîmes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 10).

Auxerre has the most likely position - 2 (18.92%), has project points - 65, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (36%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 3 (10.27%), has project points - 59, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Auxerre is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nîmes is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Nîmes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Last 12 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
24.09.21	Sochaux - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
21.09.21	Auxerre - Rodez	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Quevilly - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
11.09.21	Auxerre - Niort	4:0 ✺
28.08.21	Nancy - Auxerre	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTWW
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
24.09.21	Nîmes - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
21.09.21	Paris FC - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Nîmes - Amiens	3:3 ✺
11.09.21	Grenoble - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Nîmes - Caen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.02.18	Auxerre - Nîmes	0:0
15.09.17	Nîmes - Auxerre	3:0
28.04.17	Nîmes - Auxerre	0:1
29.11.16	Auxerre - Nîmes	2:0
29.01.16	Nîmes - Auxerre	2:1
28.08.15	Auxerre - Nîmes	1:0
03.04.15	Auxerre - Nîmes	3:1

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