Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday


	Auxerre		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.5	Watch
	1.62	4.1	4.75
	1.55	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.1	5.4
	1.57	4.11	6.37
	1.52	3.9	6	Watch
	1.55	4.3	5.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	4.06 ↑ (3.58)	5.76 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
60.5%

Draw
23.1%

Niort
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

15.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-27.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auxerre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niort could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	22.2%	8.3%

Auxerre - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). Niort will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 54.3% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 11).

Auxerre has the most likely position - 3 (11.82%), has project points - 62, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Niort has the most likely position - 18 (10.46%), has project points - 41, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 33-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
28.08.21	Nancy - Auxerre	1:4 ✺
23.08.21	Auxerre - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
16.08.21	Paris FC - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
07.08.21	Auxerre - Ajaccio	0:0 ✺
02.08.21	Auxerre - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTTW
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
28.08.21	Niort - Amiens	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Le Havre - Niort	2:1 ✺
14.08.21	Niort - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
07.08.21	Dunkerque - Niort	1:2 ✺
31.07.21	Niort - Caen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.04.21	Niort - Auxerre	0:4
05.12.20	Auxerre - Niort	6:0
28.02.20	Auxerre - Niort	3:1
27.09.19	Niort - Auxerre	2:2
12.04.19	Niort - Auxerre	0:0
09.11.18	Auxerre - Niort	0:0
16.01.18	Auxerre - Niort	5:0

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