Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+


	Auxerre		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.67	Watch
	5.4	3.7	1.68
	4.73	4.00	1.68	Watch
	5.65	3.88	1.68	Watch
	5.33	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (4.49)	3.84 ↓ (3.94)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
18.1%

Draw
24.9%

Olympique Marseille
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

24.3%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

23.9%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	4.4%	89.7%

Auxerre - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Marseille (2.65) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - draw (1.17) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH +0.75 - Auxerre (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Marseille (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Marseille (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (61 of 68 users predict this - 89.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.49% – 96.93%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (38 of 38 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 45 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 2.2%). Marseille (votes: 44 - 97.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 7. Casimir J. 29. Senaya M. 20. Diomande S. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 21. Coulibaly L. 42. Owusu E. (C) 5. Danois K. 19. Danny Namaso 10. Sinayoko L.	1. Rulli G. (G) 28. Pavard B. 4. Egan-Riley C. 33. Emerson 62. Murillo M. 23. Hojbjerg P. (C) 17. O'Riley M. 6. Garcia U. 8. Gomes A. 34. Vaz R. 97. Aubameyang P.
Substitutes
40. De Percin T. (G) 36. Devernois T. 18. Diousse A. 9. Mara S. 34. Matondo R. 22. Oppegard F. 23. Osman I. 4. Sierralta F. 27. Sy L.	21. Aguerd N. 50. Bakola D. 12. De Lange J. (G) 10. Greenwood M. 29. Lirola P. 76. Mmadi T. 35. N'Zinga Pambani P. 14. Paixao I. 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Gomes A. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Gomes A. ⚽,
36', Emerson 🟨,
39', O'Riley M. 🟨,
43', Coulibaly L. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
45+3', Vaz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Vaz R. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
63', Gomes A. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
65', Garcia U. 🟥,
69', Casimir J. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
69', Mensah G. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
78', Aubameyang P. ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
80', Diomande S. 🟨,
84', Senaya M. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
84', Owusu E. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
87', Danny Namaso 🟨,
90+3', Diomande S. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.

Auxerre is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marseille has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Marseille is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Muscle Injury) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Nadir B. (Head Injury) Weah T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Auxerre: Matondo R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Marseille: Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Strasbourg - Auxerre	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Auxerre - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Rennes - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Auxerre - Lens	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLL
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Olympique Marseille - Angers	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Lens - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.25	Olympique Marseille - Le Havre	6:2 ✺
04.10.25	Metz - Olympique Marseille	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
22.02.25	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	3:0
08.11.24	Olympique Marseille - Auxerre	1:3
30.04.23	Olympique Marseille - Auxerre	2:1
03.09.22	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	0:2
Coupe De France
10.02.21	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	0:2
French Ligue 1
13.05.12	Olympique Marseille - Auxerre	3:0

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