Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Auxerre		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.55
	2.17	3.45	3.56
	2.16	3.62	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.26)	3.43 ↑ (3.38)	3.59 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
45.1%

Draw
28.1%

Le Havre
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	18.4%	2.6%

Auxerre - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 30 - 78.9%). Le Havre will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 65.9% – 91.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Le Havre (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Auxerre will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 7. Casimir J. 29. Senaya M. 4. Sierralta F. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 10. Sinayoko L. 42. Owusu E. (C) 17. El Azzouzi O. 19. Danny Namaso 9. Mara S.	99. Diaw M. (G) 7. Nego L. 6. Youte Kinkoue E. 93. Sangante A. (C) 18. Zouaoui Y. 15. Seko A. 94. Toure A. 14. Ndiaye R. 45. Soumare I. 8. Kechta Y. 70. Samatta A.
Substitutes
21. Coulibaly L. 40. De Percin T. (G) 20. Diomande S. 18. Diousse A. 34. Matondo R. 22. Oppegard F. 23. Osman I. 27. Sy L.	23. Delaine T. 13. Doucoure F. 26. Ebonog S. 30. Khadra R. 11. Kyeremeh G. 10. Mambimbi F. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 21. Namli Y. 29. Zagadou S.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Sangante A. 🟨,
28', Youte Kinkoue E. 🟨,
41', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Owusu E. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Toure A. ⚽,
62', Samatta A. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
68', Casimir J. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
68', Mara S. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
78', Ndiaye R. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
78', Kechta Y. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
82', Senaya M. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
87', Mensah G. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
89', Danny Namaso 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Auxerre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Auxerre might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Le Havre: Lloris G. (Red Card)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
19.10.25	Rennes - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Auxerre - Lens	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Auxerre - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Auxerre - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLWL
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
18.10.25	Olympique Marseille - Le Havre	6:2 ✺
05.10.25	Le Havre - Rennes	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Metz - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Le Havre - Lorient	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Strasbourg - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
04.05.25	Auxerre - Le Havre	1:2
01.09.24	Le Havre - Auxerre	3:1
French Ligue 2
07.05.22	Le Havre - Auxerre	1:2
21.12.21	Auxerre - Le Havre	2:3
05.04.21	Auxerre - Le Havre	1:1
01.12.20	Le Havre - Auxerre	1:1
06.03.20	Le Havre - Auxerre	1:0

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