Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+


	Auxerre		Lens

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	2	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.98
	3.55	3.55	2.02
	3.61	3.7	2.1
	3.28	3.71	2.04	Watch
	3.72	3.76	2.08	Watch
	3.55	3.6	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.66)	3.67 ↓ (3.85)	2.04 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
27.1%

Draw
26%

Lens
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

25.1%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

25.4%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+1%)

Auxerre - Lens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Auxerre (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lens (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 29. Senaya M. 4. Sierralta F. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. (C) 5. Danois K. 7. Casimir J. 10. Sinayoko L. 19. Danny Namaso 9. Mara S.	40. Risser R. (G) 25. Ganiou I. 6. Baidoo S. 20. Sarr M. 2. Aguilar R. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 8. Sangare M. 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 22. Said W. 11. Edouard O.
Substitutes
40. De Percin T. (G) 36. Devernois T. 18. Diousse A. 34. Matondo R. 22. Oppegard F. 23. Osman I. 38. Petit Dol A. 31. Rodin R. 27. Sy L.	23. Abdulhamid S. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 29. Guilavogui M. 1. Gurtner R. (G) 13. Jhoanner Chavez 15. Ojediran H. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Edouard O. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
15', Baidoo S. 🟨,
41', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ganiou I. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Sierralta F. ⚽,
62', Danny Namaso 🟨,
62', Risser R. 🟨,
65', Mensah G. 🟨,
66', Thauvin F. 🟨,
68', Owusu E. 🟨,
69', Sinayoko L. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
73', Ganiou I. 🟨,
76', Owusu E. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
81', Said W. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
82', Thauvin F. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
84', Sierralta F. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
87', Thomasson A. 🟨,
90+2', Sarr M. 🟨,
90+3', Pelissier C. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Sima A. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.

Recent form of Auxerre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lens is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lens might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Shoulder Injury) Diomande S. (Thigh Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Neck Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Bermont A. (International duty) Gradit J. (Red Card) Machado D. (Knee Injury) Sylla F. (International duty)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Lens - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 48.53%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
27.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Auxerre - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Auxerre - Monaco	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Nice - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Rennes - Lens	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Lens - Lille	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Lens - Brest	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Le Havre - Lens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
27.04.25	Lens - Auxerre	0:4
14.12.24	Auxerre - Lens	2:2
03.06.23	Auxerre - Lens	1:3
14.01.23	Lens - Auxerre	1:0
French Ligue 2
21.10.19	Lens - Auxerre	0:0
09.03.19	Lens - Auxerre	2:0
06.10.18	Auxerre - Lens	1:2

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