Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Avaí		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.33
	1.77	3.25	4.2
	1.8	3.25	4.4
	1.88	3.46	4.61
	1.85	3.2	4.4
	1.83	3.45	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.64)	3.3 ↓ (3.59)	4.38 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
51.1%

Draw
27.9%

Guaraní Asuncion
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

17.8%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

Avaí - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Guaraní will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 34.6% – 73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 12).

Recent matches Avaí is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guaraní has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avaí is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Avaí won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
19.01.21	Avaí - Juventude	5:2 ✺
16.01.21	CS Alagoano - Avaí	1:1 ✺
13.01.21	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
08.01.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Avaí	0:1 ✺
29.12.20	Avaí - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTTWL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
20.01.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
14.01.21	Cuiabá - Guaraní Asuncion	4:0 ✺
11.01.21	CRB Maceio - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
05.01.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
02.01.21	Guaraní Asuncion - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Avaí	2:1
13.10.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Avaí	1:2
19.06.18	Avaí - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3
09.11.12	Avaí - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
14.08.12	Guaraní Asuncion - Avaí	N/A

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Avaí	✺
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	✺

Avaí - Guaraní Asuncion