Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Ressacada (Florianópolis)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)


	Avaí		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.85	Watch
	4.75	3.2	1.87
	4.75	3.15	1.83
	4.6	3.1	1.84
	5.24	3.28	1.85
	5.25	3.5	1.65
	4.85	3.34	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↓ (4.98)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	1.82 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
19.3%

Draw
28.9%

Palmeiras
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

27.3%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

27.6%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.1%	5.8%	84.1%

Avaí - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (58 of 69 users predict this - 84.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.42% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)).

Avaí has the most likely position - 18 (9.25%), has project points - 44, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Palmeiras has the most likely position - 1 (58.94%), has project points - 75, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of win league (59%).

This event has quality 50, importance 64, match rating 57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1.

Recent matches Avaí is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palmeiras is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.

There will not play in Avaí: Friedrich D. (Injury) Galdezani M. (Injury) Jean Pyerre (Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Jailson (Injury) Veiga R. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie A
19.06.22	Fluminense - Avaí	2:0 ✺
16.06.22	Avaí - Fortaleza	3:2 ✺
13.06.22	Botafogo RJ - Avaí	0:1 ✺
08.06.22	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	2:1 ✺
04.06.22	Avaí - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLT
- Palmeiras
Copa do Brasil
23.06.22	São Paulo - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.06.22	São Paulo - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
16.06.22	Palmeiras - Atlético Goianiense	4:2 ✺
12.06.22	Coritiba - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
09.06.22	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
27.10.19	Avaí - Palmeiras	1:2
13.06.19	Palmeiras - Avaí	2:0
20.11.17	Avaí - Palmeiras	2:1
29.07.17	Palmeiras - Avaí	2:0
17.10.15	Avaí - Palmeiras	1:3
08.07.15	Palmeiras - Avaí	3:0
Copa do Brasil
06.08.14	Palmeiras - Avaí	1:0

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