Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 2

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Ressacada (Florianópolis)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)


	Avaí		Santos

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.93
	3.75	3.3	2
	4.3	3.2	2.04
	4.31	3.15	2.04
	3.9	3.1	2
	3.99	3.15	2.01
	4	3.15	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (4.01)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)	2 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
23.3%

Draw
29.7%

Santos
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

29.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

28.7%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Avaí - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor Bohn (G) 63. Marcos Vinicius 3. Tiago Pagnussat 5. Alan 33. Mario Sergio 93. Judson (C) 21. Pedro Castro 8. Giovanni 10. Willian Pottker 9. Gabriel Poveda 19. Joao Paulo	1. Joao Paulo (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 4. Gil 6. Joaquim 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Diego Pituca (C) 20. Giuliano 22. Otero R. 30. Morelos A. 11. Guilherme
Substitutes
20. Gaspar 29. Jean Lucas 11. Mauricio Garcez 25. Natanael 66. Otavio Passos (G) 27. Pedrinho 4. Roberto Rosa 28. Ronaldo Henrique 72. Thales Oleques 14. Vilar 6. Willian Maranhao 77. Ze Ricardo	2. Alex Nascimento 36. Cazares 12. Diogenes (G) 9. Furch J. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 3. Hayner 15. Nonato 8. Rincon T. 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 40. Samuel 33. Souza 42. Weslley Patati
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Fabio Carille

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Mario Sergio 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro Chermont ⚽,
59', Giovanni ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
64', Willian Pottker ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
64', Judson ↓, Willian Maranhao ↑,
68', Otero R. 🟨,
70', Otero R. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
70', Morelos A. ↓, Furch J. ↑,
78', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Roberto Rosa ↑,
78', Joao Paulo ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
78', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Furch J. ⚽,
85', Gil ↓, Alex Nascimento ↑,
85', Giuliano ↓, Rincon T. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1.

Recent matches Avaí is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santos is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Santos have a series of home games.

In this match Santos is a favorite.

There will not play in Santos: Alison Lopes (Injury) Patrick (Injury) Sandry (Injury) Zabala L. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.24	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
23.03.24	Avaí - Brusque	2:2 ✺
20.03.24	Brusque - Avaí	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Avaí - Joinville	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	Joinville - Avaí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWT
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
20.04.24	Santos - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
07.04.24	Palmeiras - Santos	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Santos - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
27.03.24	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Santos - Portuguesa	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
05.11.22	Santos - Avaí	1:1
16.07.22	Avaí - Santos	1:0
06.11.19	Avaí - Santos	1:2
28.07.19	Santos - Avaí	3:1
03.12.17	Santos - Avaí	1:1
06.08.17	Avaí - Santos	0:0
22.08.15	Santos - Avaí	5:2

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