The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Bragantino 62.3%
Draw 23.1%
Avaí 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
28.1%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
29.4%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avaí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.1%
18.4%
14.5%
Red Bull Bragantino - Avaí Predictions
Users Predictions:
76 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 51 - 67.1%). Avaí will win (votes: 11 - 14.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 18.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 56.5% – 77.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)).
RB Bragantino has the most likely position - 9 (8.19%), has project points - 51, has currently - 18, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Avaí has the most likely position - 18 (11.38%), has project points - 42, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality44, importance36, match rating40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match RB Bragantino is a favorite.
There will not play in RB Bragantino: Martinez E.
(Injury)
There will not play in Avaí: Bressan
(Injury)
Jean Cleber
(Injury)
Renato
(Injury)
Romulo
(Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.
Including matches at home between the teams RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.