Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 22

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	2	3.4	3.5
	2.04	3.35	3.66
	2	3.42	3.68	Watch
	2	3.25	3.6
	1.98	3.38	3.55
	2	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.08)	3.34 ↓ (3.47)	3.56 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
46.4%

Draw
27.6%

Aveley
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

26.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Bath City - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Parselle K. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Alves J. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Wilson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Aveley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bath will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bath won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
14.12.24	Welling United - Bath City	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Bath City - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Bath City - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Eastbourne Borough - Bath City	1:0 ✺
19.11.24	Bath City - Maidstone United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT
- Aveley
English National League South
14.12.24	Tonbridge Angels - Aveley	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Barnet - Aveley	2:0 ✺
English National League South
02.12.24	Aveley - Maidstone United	0:3 ✺
29.11.24	Aveley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
25.11.24	Aveley - St Albans City	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.04.24	Aveley - Bath City	2:0
11.11.23	Bath City - Aveley	3:0

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