The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Entella 46%
Draw 29.4%
Avellino 24.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
28.6%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
27.6%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
66.7%
16.7%
Virtus Entella - Avellino Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% โ 93.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Del Frate F. (G) 3. Previtali N. 6. Tiritiello A. (C) 27. Alborghetti M. 8. Vignali L. 24. Franzoni A. 5. Squizzato N. 18. Annoni T. 26. Di Mario S. 10. Cuppone L. 17. Tirelli M.
50. Martinelli T. (G) 4. Izzo A. 23. Venturi M. 56. Enrici P. 2. Missori F. 8. Di Maggio L. 16. Faticanti G. 24. Sounas D. (C) 27. Moruzzi B. 99. Favilli A. 14. Biasci T.
Substitutes
80. Benedetti L. 9. Corona G. 40. Costa G. 11. Guiu B. 70. Kritta M. 55. Lucas Martello 15. Marconi I. 94. Mezzoni F. 39. Motolese M. 1. Tassara M. (G) 12. Torrielli E. (G) 16. Turicchia R.
30. Adamo E. 39. Besaggio M. 29. Cancellotti T. 9. Cheddira W. 5. Di Bitonto A. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 6. Palmiero L. 20. Palumbo M. 7. Pandolfi L. 10. Russo R. 3. Sala M. 44. Simic L.
Coaches
Chiappella A.
Nesta A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Tirelli M. ⚽, Di Mario S. (A),
45', Enrici P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Alborghetti M. 🟨,
58', Faticanti G. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
58', Sounas D. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
58', Biasci T. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
58', Annoni T. ↓, Mezzoni F. ↑,
59', Cuppone L. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
63', Franzoni A. 🟨,
67', Venturi M. 🟨,
71', Missori F. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
72', Tirelli M. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
82', Palumbo M. 🟨,
84', Di Maggio L. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
89', Squizzato N. ↓, Turicchia R. ↑,
89', Di Mario S. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Adamo E. ⚽, Izzo A. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 8th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Virtus Entella holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Virtus Entella: Bariti D.
(Inactive)
Marconi I.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Avellino: Fila D.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Virtus Entella: Forte F.
(Inactive).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Virtus Entella has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:11 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Virtus Entella against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:4 goals (averaging 1.5:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Avellino
9
3
3
3
13:10
3
12
12
Entella
9
2
4
3
11:10
1
10
Outrights of Italian Serie B for now
Avellino: 0.8% Entella: 0.46%
Last Results with these Odds
Virtus Entella - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.54%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.