Match Info

Serie B - Round 30

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.75	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3.35
	2.84	2.85	3.08
	2.51	2.95	3.07	Watch
	2.38	2.9	3
	2.43	2.79	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)	2.85 ↓ (2.9)	3.23 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
38.1%

Draw
32.9%

Avellino
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

32.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

31.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Entella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	60%	13.3%

Virtus Entella - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Virtus Entella (2.17) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Avellino (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombi S. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 3. Alborghetti M. 7. Bariti D. 8. Karic N. 5. Squizzato N. 32. Benedetti L. 26. Di Mario S. 10. Cuppone L. 19. Debenedetti A.	30. Daffara G. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 44. Simic L. 4. Izzo A. 3. Sala M. 24. Sounas D. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 39. Besaggio M. 20. Palumbo M. 10. Russo R. 7. Tutino G.
Substitutes
77. Boccadamo A. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 57. Del Lungo T. 24. Franzoni A. 11. Guiu B. 4. Nichetti M. 38. Pilati A. 80. Rinaldini R. (G) 99. Siaulys O. (G) 9. Stabile D. P. 17. Tirelli M. 46. Turicchia R.	21. Armellino M. 14. Biasci T. 56. Enrici P. 63. Fontanarosa A. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 94. Insigne R. 16. Kumi J. 27. Le Borgne A. 78. Milani A. 2. Missori F. 53. Sassi J. (G) 18. Sgarbi L.
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Ballardini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Sala M. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Russo R. ⚽, Izzo A. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Cancellotti T. ⚽, Palumbo M. (A),
43', Parodi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Palmiero L. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
55', Karic N. ↓, Franzoni A. ↑,
55', Parodi L. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
58', Besaggio M. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
58', Tutino G. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
67', Bariti D. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
67', Debenedetti A. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
71', Russo R. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
79', Benedetti L. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
79', Sala M. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Tiritiello A. ⚽, Del Lungo T. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Virtus Entella could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Marconi I. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L. (Inactive) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Pandolfi L. (Inactive) Patierno C. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Mezzoni F. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	4	10
14	Entella	6	1	3	2	8:7	1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Entella - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
07.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Virtus Entella - Modena	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Monza - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Virtus Entella - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Palermo - Virtus Entella	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLL
- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
07.03.26	Avellino - Padova	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Venezia - Avellino	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Avellino - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Reggiana - Avellino	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Avellino - Pescara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.09.25	Avellino - Virtus Entella	2:0
Italian Super Cup Serie C
10.05.25	Virtus Entella - Avellino	1:1
Italian Serie B
14.04.18	Virtus Entella - Avellino	1:1
11.11.17	Avellino - Virtus Entella	0:0
28.01.17	Avellino - Virtus Entella	2:2
04.09.16	Virtus Entella - Avellino	2:0
14.05.16	Virtus Entella - Avellino	4:0

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