Match Info

Date: 24 September 2021, Friday


	Avranches		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.7	2.65
	2.8	2.95	2.4
	2.6	2.95	2.7
	2.78	3.04	2.82
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.77	2.81	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.83)	2.91 ↓ (3.4)	2.65 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avranches
33.7%

Draw
31.6%

Boulogne
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

19.7%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avranches has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avranches, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boulogne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avranches - Boulogne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Recent matches Avranches is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boulogne is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Avranches won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Avranches won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
20.09.21	Concarneau - Avranches	1:3 ✺
10.09.21	Avranches - Laval	0:1 ✺
03.09.21	Sedan - Avranches	2:0 ✺
27.08.21	Avranches - Bourg-Péronnas	0:3 ✺
20.08.21	Sète 34 - Avranches	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLLW
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
17.09.21	Boulogne - Cholet	2:3 ✺
10.09.21	Bastia-Borgo - Boulogne	0:3 ✺
03.09.21	Boulogne - Villefranche	0:1 ✺
27.08.21	Annecy - Boulogne	2:0 ✺
20.08.21	Boulogne - Orleans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
10.04.21	Avranches - Boulogne	0:0
11.12.20	Boulogne - Avranches	0:1
07.02.20	Boulogne - Avranches	3:1
30.08.19	Avranches - Boulogne	0:1
01.03.19	Avranches - Boulogne	2:1
20.09.18	Boulogne - Avranches	4:0
11.05.18	Avranches - Boulogne	1:0

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