Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Somerset Park (Ayr)


	Ayr United		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	5.5
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.57	4.2	5
	1.72	3.75	4.4
	1.6	3.9	5.08
	1.65	3.8	4.33
	1.61	4.05	5.06
	1.58	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)	3.95 ↓ (4)	4.92 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayr United
57.8%

Draw
23.4%

Kelty Hearts
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

22.6%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Ayr United - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Albinson C. (G) 2. McAllister N. 14. Stanger G. 5. McGinty S. (C) 3. Reading P. 18. Smith P. 8. Dempsey B. 20. Syla R. 11. Chalmers L. 16. Dowds A. 15. Murphy J.	1. Gourlay K. (G) 2. Corbett A. 5. Thomson J. 6. McKay B. 3. Paterson B. 8. Lyon R. 18. McAllister R. 16. O'Donnell L. 11. McCluskey S. 9. Johnston C. 19. Bavidge A.
Substitutes
38. Ahui E. 30. Bryden F. 46. Donnelly S. 22. McKenzie M. 31. Mutch R. (G) 9. Rose A. 23. Senga-Ngoyi J. 24. Tomlinson S. 32. Watret D.	14. Biabi B. 20. Campbell L. (G) 10. Cunningham R. 23. Moore L. 17. Owens B. 15. Owens L. 24. Sylla K.

Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Ayr is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
13.01.24	Arbroath - Ayr United	0:0 ✺
06.01.24	Ayr United - Inverness	1:3 ✺
02.01.24	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	3:0 ✺
30.12.23	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	2:2 ✺
22.12.23	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTT
- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
13.01.24	Kelty Hearts - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	0:1 ✺
09.12.23	Falkirk - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTTLL

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