The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matsumoto Yamaga 39.8%
Draw 29.1%
Kataller Toyama 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
30%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
29.5%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.
Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kataller Toyama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kataller Toyama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ouchi I. (G) 7. Mawatari K. 44. Nonomura T. 13. Hashiuchi Y. 17. Yamamoto R. 46. Yasunaga R. 15. Yamamoto K. 41. Murakoshi K. 10. Kikui Y. 23. Taki Y. 11. Asakawa H.
1. Tagawa T. (G) 30. Osako A. 14. Shimodo R. 4. Kamiyama K. 25. Yasumitsu S. 33. Takahashi Y. 16. Sueki H. 8. Matsuoka D. 7. Sasaki Y. 18. Ito T. 9. Usui S.
Substitutes
14. Ando T. 2. Miyabe T. 16. Murayama T. (G) 22. Saso K. 5. Tokida M. 6. Yamaguchi K. 32. Yonehara S.
28. Fuseya S. 5. Imase J. 19. Inoue N. 11. Matsumoto K. 23. Nishiya S. 31. Saito K. (G) 6. Sera S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Asakawa H. ⚽, Mawatari K. (A),
21', Kikui Y. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
30', 1 - 1, Sasaki Y. ⚽, Sueki H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Asakawa H. ⚽,
59', Osako A. 🟨,
61', Sasaki Y. ↓, Inoue N. ↑,
67', Yamamoto K. ↓, Yonehara S. ↑,
67', Taki Y. ↓, Yamaguchi K. ↑,
67', Mawatari K. ↓, Saso K. ↑,
71', Ito T. ↓, Fuseya S. ↑,
71', Usui S. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Saso K. ⚽,
79', Asakawa H. ↓, Miyabe T. ↑,
82', Matsuoka D. ↓, Sera S. ↑,
82', Osako A. ↓, Nishiya S. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 2.
Matsumoto Yamaga is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kataller Toyama is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kataller Toyama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Matsumoto Yamaga won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Matsumoto Yamaga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
Watch
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Ouchi I. (G) 
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