The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kataller Toyama 20.8%
Draw 23.3%
Vissel Kobe 55.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.3%
21.4%
62.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.5%
20.3%
65.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vissel Kobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kataller Toyama that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
27.3%
63.6%
Kataller Toyama - Vissel Kobe Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 46. Kawakami Y. 5. Imase J. 30. Osako A. 15. Nascimento G. 16. Sueki H. 8. Matsuoka D. 33. Takahashi Y. 27. Yoshihira T. 9. Usui S.
21. Arai S. (G) 2. Iino N. 55. Iwanami T. (C) 81. Kikuchi R. 19. Hatsuse R. 7. Ideguchi Y. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 30. Yamauchi K. 18. Ide H. 26. Patric J. 14. Yuruki K.
Substitutes
18. Ito T. 10. Leiria Dos Santos M. 11. Matsumoto K. 26. Nabeta A. 31. Saito K. (G) 7. Sasaki Y. 6. Sera S. 17. Tsubokawa H. 25. Yasumitsu S.
44. Hidaka M. 23. Hirose R. 15. Honda Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 31. Nakasaka Y. 17. Sakurai T. 39. Takayama S. (G) 37. Terasaka S. 38. Ura J.
Coaches
Otagiri M.
Yoshida T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Ide H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Kuwasaki Y. 🟨,
59', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Hirose R. (Own goal),
73', Yamauchi K. ↓, Honda Y. ↑,
73', Yuruki K. ↓, Miyashiro T. ↑,
77', Yoshihira T. ↓, Leiria Dos Santos M. ↑,
77', Nascimento G. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
81', Osako A. ↓, Yasumitsu S. ↑,
83', Ide H. 🟨,
84', Patric J. ↓, Ura J. ↑,
84', Ide H. ↓, Nakasaka Y. ↑,
87', Usui S. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Iino N. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
106', Sueki H. ↓, Sera S. ↑,
117', Nishiya S. 🟨,
118', Nishiya S. ↓, Nabeta A. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Miyashiro T. (Pen),
1, Matsumoto K. (Pen),
2, Iwanami T. (Pen),
2, Imase J. (Pen),
3, Ideguchi Y. (Pen),
3, Leiria Dos Santos M. (Pen),
4, Hatsuse R. (Pen),
4, Takahashi Y. (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
Preview
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Vissel Kobe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Vissel Kobe is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.
Watch
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Tagawa T. (G) 
Nascimento G. 
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