Match Info

Virsliga - Round 31

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tukuma pilsētas stadions (Tukums) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Latvia	16:00	Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus


	Tukums 2000		Grobiņa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.20	2.45
	2.45	3.30	2.45	Watch
	2.64	3.50	2.57
	2.51	3.32	2.7	Watch
	2.60	3.30	2.50
	2.63	3.42	2.53	Watch
	2.49	3.20	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.18)	3.32 ↓ (3.33)	2.52 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tukums 2000
36.1%

Draw
27.6%

Grobiņa
36.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.1%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tukums 2000's form might have worsened.

Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tukums 2000, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grobiņa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tukums 2000 - Grobiņa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kuprins A. (G) 16. Klavins K. 25. Joksts H. 6. Volkovs K. 8. Reingolcs R. 5. Toba J. 4. Anmanis Kaspars 21. Valmiers D. 10. Samoilovs B. (C) 17. Derkach M. 27. Deruzinskis R.	21. Ozols R. (G) 2. Rupeiks K. 15. Jovanovic A. 27. Baravykas R. 11. Rascevskis O. 3. Druzinins D. (C) 87. Ribeiro J. 77. Dodo 88. Tyshchenko I. 10. Dobrecovs D. 6. Corryn M.
Substitutes
31. Kaira D. 34. Kere M. 28. Melkis R. 19. Radzenieks D. 29. Shigema K. 22. Sprukts E. 88. Stals M. 30. Susts M. 35. Velika M. (G)	80. Baydal A. 32. Kluskins G. 1. Kudrjavcevs V. (G) 5. Leitans G. 99. Puzirevskis A. 14. Sidorovs M. 20. Yamada H. 17. Zjuzins A.
Coaches
Dislers K.	Klava O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Corryn M. ⚽, Tyshchenko I. (A),
34', Reingolcs R. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
45', Deruzinskis R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Tyshchenko I. ↓, Sidorovs M. ↑,
53', Dodo 🟨,
62', Dobrecovs D. ↓, Kluskins G. ↑,
66', Joksts H. 🟨,
68', Toba J. ↓, Shigema K. ↑,
68', Valmiers D. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
79', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
79', Joksts H. ↓, Stals M. ↑,
79', Volkovs K. ↓, Susts M. ↑,
82', Corryn M. ↓, Puzirevskis A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Samoilovs B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 1.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Grobiņa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Tukums 2000 has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:16 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tukums 2000 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 25:4 goals (averaging 3.1:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Grobina	34	6	11	17	27:61	-34	29
9	Tukums 2000	34	5	10	19	44:65	-21	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga
10.09.26	Super Nova - Tukums 2000	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Tukums 2000 - Ogre United	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tukums 2000 - Jelgava	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	Auda Riga - Tukums 2000	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Grobiņas SC
Latvian Virsliga
12.09.26	Grobiņa - Jelgava	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Liepāja - Grobiņa	3:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
17.08.26	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	3:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
05.07.26	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	3:1
15.05.26	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	3:3
05.04.26	Tukums 2000 - Grobiņa	1:1
04.10.25	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	1:0
21.07.25	Tukums 2000 - Grobiņa	2:1
21.05.25	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	2:0
05.04.25	Tukums 2000 - Grobiņa	2:0

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