Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Santa Clara		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	7.5	Watch
	1.53	3.8	6.5
	1.52	3.9	6.4	Watch
	1.51	3.9	6.6
	1.55	4.06	7.13
	1.5	3.8	7	Watch
	1.53	4.05	6.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.71)	3.87 ↑ (3.6)	6.83 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
61.9%

Draw
24.3%

BSAD
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

16.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BSAD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-26.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Clara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BSAD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Clara - BSAD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (73.9%), has project points - 24, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 41, small importance 14, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Santa Clara is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
12.03.22	Famalicão - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
06.03.22	Santa Clara - Vizela	3:1 ✺
28.02.22	Braga - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
21.02.22	Santa Clara - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Benfica - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWTTL
- BSAD
Liga Portugal
12.03.22	BSAD - Boavista	0:0 ✺
07.03.22	Tondela - BSAD	1:1 ✺
25.02.22	BSAD - Paços de Ferreira	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Gil Vicente - BSAD	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	BSAD - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
31.10.21	BSAD - Santa Clara	2:1
16.05.21	BSAD - Santa Clara	0:2
01.02.21	Santa Clara - BSAD	2:0
08.02.20	BSAD - Santa Clara	0:2
25.08.19	Santa Clara - BSAD	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
03.08.19	BSAD - Santa Clara	0:1
Liga Portugal
06.04.19	BSAD - Santa Clara	1:1

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