Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Referee: Godinho L. (Por)


	BSAD		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.8
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.3	3.25	2.8
	2.51	3.28	3.03
	2.35	3	2.88
	2.39	3.22	2.89
	2.35	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.13)	3.17 ↓ (3.27)	2.84 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
38.7%

Draw
29%

Covilhã
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26.1%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BSAD's form might have worsened.

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

BSAD - Covilhã Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

BSAD is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covilhã has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches BSAD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
23.04.23	Estrela da Amadora - BSAD	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	BSAD - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Benfica B - BSAD	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	BSAD - Torreense	1:3 ✺
19.03.23	Farense - BSAD	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWLL
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
24.04.23	Covilhã - Mafra	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Leixões - Covilhã	3:2 ✺
08.04.23	Torreense - Covilhã	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	Covilhã - Estrela da Amadora	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Académico de Viseu - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
13.11.22	Covilhã - BSAD	1:1
21.04.13	Covilhã - BSAD	4:1

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