Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio de São Luís (Faro)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Farense		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.75
	1.52	3.7	5.5
	1.46	4	6
	1.65	3.5	4.8
	1.52	4.29	6.74
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.5	4.05	6.2
	1.51	3.85	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)	3.86 ↑ (3.83)	5.89 ↑ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
60.5%

Draw
23.8%

BSAD
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.2%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Farense - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: Farense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Recent matches Farense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

BSAD is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

BSAD could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Farense is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Farense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
11.03.23	Vilafranquense - Farense	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Farense - Leixões	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Covilhã - Farense	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Farense - Mafra	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Académico de Viseu - Farense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWL
- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
12.03.23	BSAD - Tondela	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Feirense - BSAD	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	BSAD - Nacional	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Moreirense - BSAD	4:1 ✺
13.02.23	BSAD - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.10.22	BSAD - Farense	2:3
Liga Portugal
13.03.21	Farense - BSAD	0:1
31.10.20	BSAD - Farense	1:1
Club Friendly
21.07.19	Farense - BSAD	1:1

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