Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Estoril Praia		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.7
	3.25	2.98	2.32	Watch
	3.43	3.11	2.38
	3.91	2.34	2.62	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7	Watch
	3.19	3.08	2.41	Watch
	2.95	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.78)	2.96 ↓ (2.98)	2.49 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
29.9%

Draw
32%

Santa Clara
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

31.4%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	45.5%	0%

Estoril Praia - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Estoril (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Estoril (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Estoril (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Robles J. (G) 4. Ferro 25. Bacher F. 24. Amaral P. 22. Carvalho P. 45. Patrick de Paula 10. Holsgrove J. 2. Sanchez R. 21. Pizzi 19. Lacximicant A. 12. Carvalho J. (C)	1. Gabriel Batista (C) 23. Lima S. 21. Venancio F. 32. MT 42. Lucas Soares 6. Adriano Firmino 35. Serginho 64. Paulo Victor 11. Brenner 10. Gabriel Silva 3. Matheus Pereira
Substitutes
14. Begraoui Y. 57. Bimai L. 90. Brito T. 31. Dias D. (G) 17. Garcia F. 99. Guitane R. 18. Israelov O. 9. Marques A. 70. Peixinho	9. Carter A. 17. Costa J. 7. Elias Manoel 8. Ferreira P. 12. Neneca (G) 13. Rocha L. 65. Tavares J. 70. Vinicius Lopes 29. Wendell
Coaches
Cathro I.	Pires L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Gabriel Silva (Pen),
55', Patrick de Paula ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
56', Paulo Victor 🟨,
57', Carvalho J. 🟨,
65', Pizzi ↓, Brito T. ↑,
65', Lacximicant A. ↓, Begraoui Y. ↑,
71', Brito T. 🟨,
72', Paulo Victor ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
72', Serginho ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
72', Brenner ↓, Carter A. ↑,
73', Sanchez R. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
73', Ferro ↓, Israelov O. ↑,
78', Carvalho P. 🟨,
83', Gabriel Silva ↓, Tavares J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Estoril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Santa Clara has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Estoril: Jandro (Inactive) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury) Xeka (Injury)

There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
31.08.25	Tondela - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Estoril Praia	3:2 ✺
11.08.25	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Estoril Praia - Millwall	0:3 ✺
30.07.25	Estoril Praia - Nottingham Forest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTLT
- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
31.08.25	Santa Clara - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Shamrock Rovers - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
21.08.25	Santa Clara - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.08.25	Santa Clara - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Santa Clara - Larne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
18.01.25	Santa Clara - Estoril Praia	2:3
11.08.24	Estoril Praia - Santa Clara	1:4
30.04.23	Estoril Praia - Santa Clara	3:0
14.11.22	Santa Clara - Estoril Praia	3:1
10.04.22	Santa Clara - Estoril Praia	2:0
29.11.21	Estoril Praia - Santa Clara	2:2

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