Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 14

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Plungės dirbtinės dangos stadionas - Artificial grass (Plunge)


	Babrungas Plungė		Banga Gargždai 2

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.3	5.24	6.35
	1.31	5.24	6.35
	1.28	5.15	8.25
	1.31	5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)	5.11 ↑ (5)	7.19 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
69.7%

Draw
17.7%

Banga Gargždai 2
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

18.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

17.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babrungas Plungė's performance.

Banga Gargždai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Babrungas Plungė - Banga Gargždai 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kublickas D. (G) 17. Butkus V. (C) 7. Jasmontas V. 5. Latakas A. 19. Mantinis K. 8. Mantinis K. 11. Skirmantas M. 18. Sousa A. 9. Tomemori S. 77. Ukrinas T.	12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 57. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 19. Antuzis V. (C) 77. Balasanov A. 86. Kasperavicius P. 14. Kirjanov E. 21. Pliuskys K. 81. Praleika S. 87. Simkus N. 20. Toleikis K.
Substitutes
1. Agalarov A. (G) 3. Barusas A. 4. Butkus D. 15. Jaudzemas M. 32. Kazbaras M. 13. Yakudi K.	35. Bertasius M. 44. Galbuogis G. 45. Laugalys R. 28. Lukas D. 25. Skruibys M. 11. Smulkys E. 43. Statkus A. 54. Urbonas N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Jasmontas V. ⚽,
21', Latakas A. 🟨,
22', Mantinis K. 🟨,
45', Ukrinas T. 🟨,
45+2', Pliuskys K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
08.06.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:4 ✺
31.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Riteriai	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
28.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Hegelmann Litauen	2:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
24.05.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Babrungas Plungė	2:0 ✺
17.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT
- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
09.06.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:2 ✺
31.05.24	Garliava - Banga Gargždai 2	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Ekranas	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	BFA Vilnius - Banga Gargždai 2	2:2 ✺
13.05.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - FA Šiauliai B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
12.08.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:2
01.04.22	Babrungas Plungė - Banga Gargždai 2	3:0
29.08.21	Banga Gargždai 2 - Babrungas Plungė	2:2
09.05.21	Babrungas Plungė - Banga Gargždai 2	3:0

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