Match Info

I Lyga - Round 26

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Babrungas Plungė		Jonava

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.05	6.5
	1.36	4.14	6.72
	1.4	4.27	6.8	Watch
	1.33	4.05	6.55
	1.36	4.25	7.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.52)	4.15 ↑ (3.78)	6.76 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
65.3%

Draw
21.5%

Jonava
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.9%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babrungas Plungė's performance.

Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+3%)

Babrungas Plungė - Jonava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - TOPLYGA (Promotion: ) and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 2.

Babrungas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Jonava has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, Babrungas enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Babrungas has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Babrungas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	26	20	4	2	45:11	34	64
11	Jonava	26	7	6	13	28:35	-7	27

Last Results with these Odds

Babrungas Plungė - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 59.31%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
20.09.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWT
- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
18.09.26	Jonava - Tauras Tauragė	2:3 ✺
11.09.26	Neptūnas - Jonava	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Jonava - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Jonava	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Jonava - FA Šiauliai B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
22.05.26	Jonava - Babrungas Plungė	1:1
17.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - Jonava	1:2
18.04.25	Jonava - Babrungas Plungė	1:2
13.10.23	Babrungas Plungė - Jonava	2:1
27.05.23	Jonava - Babrungas Plungė	3:2
06.07.21	Babrungas Plungė - Jonava	1:2

Babrungas Plungė - Jonava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide