The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Bahia 49.7%
Draw 26%
São Paulo 24.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.6%
27.3%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
27.6%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Bahia - São Paulo Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Bahia (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
#ad
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 9th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 1.
Bahia is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by São Paulo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bahia holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Bahia: Kanu
(Yellow Cards)
Leo Vieira
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for São Paulo: Artur
(Inactive)
Bosshardt N.
(Inactive)
Buta
(Knee Injury)
Cauly
(Inactive)
Duarte D.
(Knee Injury)
Iago Borduchi
(Yellow Cards)
Jonathan Calleri
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for São Paulo: Ferreira
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bahia has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:24 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bahia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Bahia
32
13
11
8
45:40
5
50
9
Sao Paulo
32
12
7
13
37:36
1
43
Last Results with these Odds
Bahia - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.58%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
São Paulo - the odds 3.64 are the expected chance of winning is 26.11%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Bolivia
Bosnia And Herzegovina
Brazil
Ecuador
Kosovo
Mexico
North Macedonia
Russia
Serbia
Usa
Watch
#ad
