Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: Pereira Sampaio S. (Bra)


	Bahia		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.33	6.5
	1.37	4.35	6.5
	1.41	4.58	7.34
	1.4	4	7.5
	1.39	4.6	7.2
	1.4	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.63)	4.41 ↑ (3.4)	7.08 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
66%

Draw
21%

Volta Redonda
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

26.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bahia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Bahia - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Volta Redonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bahia is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
24.04.23	Bahia - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.04.23	Volta Redonda - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
02.04.23	Bahia - Jacuipense	3:0 ✺
26.03.23	Jacuipense - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWT
- Volta Redonda
Copa do Brasil
11.04.23	Volta Redonda - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.03.23	Fluminense - Volta Redonda	7:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.03.23	Atlético Goianiense - Volta Redonda	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
12.03.23	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
08.03.23	Boavista - Volta Redonda	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
11.04.23	Volta Redonda - Bahia	1:2

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