Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Premiership - Relegation - Final

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Ballymena Showgrounds (Ballymena)

Referee: Kennedy K. (Nir)


	Ballymena United		Institute FC

	1	X	2
	1.63	4	4.2
	1.63	4	4.5
	1.68	4.05	4.31
	1.53	4.2	4.75
	1.59	4.11	4.75
	1.63	4.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	4.08 ↓ (4.11)	4.5 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballymena United
57%

Draw
22.6%

Institute FC
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballymena United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Institute FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Neill S. (G) 28. Boyle D. 29. Brown S. 39. Mccallion D. 11. McCullough S. 27. McMurray J. 30. Place M. 4. Rocks D. 33. Stewart N. 16. Taylor F. 5. Whiteside S. (C)	1. Doherty F. (G) 16. Carlin S. 18. Devlin O. 11. Dunne J. 17. Harris M. 14. King D. 3. Lafferty D. 4. Leppard S. 8. Mullan L. 2. Porter C. 22. Quigley C.
Substitutes
35. Barr B. 7. Gawne A. 41. Hood J. 26. Johnston S. (G) 32. McAuley S. 36. McCurry C. 17. McGrory A.	. Boyle S. . Burke C. . McGinty S. . McKinney T. 34. McLaughlin O. 21. Muldoon G. (G) . Tweed E.
Coaches
Ervin J.	Deery K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', King D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Carlin S. ↓, Tweed E. ↑,
46', McMurray J. 🟨,
56', Devlin O. 🟨,
62', Boyle D. 🟨,
68', Place M. ↓, Gawne A. ↑,
68', Dunne J. ↓, McGinty S. ↑,
70', Gawne A. 🟨,
76', Devlin O. 🟨,
77', Harris M. ↓, Boyle S. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, McCullough S. ⚽,
79', McMurray J. ↓, McCurry C. ↑,
90+4', Mccallion D. 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ballymena United won 2.

Recent matches Ballymena United is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Institute is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ballymena United is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ballymena United won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ballymena United won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Championship
30.04.24	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
27.04.24	Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ballymena United - Newry City	4:0 ✺
16.04.24	Ballymena United - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Carrick Rangers - Ballymena United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL
- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
30.04.24	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Portadown - Institute FC	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Institute FC - Bangor	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Institute FC - Annagh United	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dundela - Institute FC	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
30.04.24	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:0
Northern Irish Premiership
23.11.19	Ballymena United - Institute FC	1:1
05.10.19	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:1
19.03.19	Ballymena United - Institute FC	6:1
09.02.19	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:2
13.10.18	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:2
11.04.15	Institute FC - Ballymena United	1:2

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