Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 18

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Neftekhimik Stadium (Nizhnekamsk)

Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	3.81	3.22	2.12
	3.7	3.2	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (3.78)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
25.2%

Draw
29.5%

Baltika Kaliningrad
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27.3%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

28%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+1%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golubev A. (G) 99. Emelyanov D. 24. Kakhidze A. 10. Magomedov R. 9. Morozov K. 14. Pershin M. 73. Petrov M. 90. Shiltsov K. 2. Sitdikov M. (C) 65. Tolstopyatov N. 17. Valiakhmetov E.	67. Borisko M. (G) 16. Andrade K. 70. Eldarushev A. 11. Kovalev Y. 99. Lisakovich V. 8. Mendel A. 5. Osipov A. (C) 95. Petrov I. 19. Pryakhin S. 17. Saus V. 2. Varatynov S.
Substitutes
11. Aliev S. 29. Denisov R. 47. Golybin R. 6. Rodin D. 33. Sharifullin L. 28. Yanovich N. (G)	10. Alex Fernandes 14. Appaev K. 59. Avanesyan T. 57. Begun D. 3. Kalachev I. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 96. Mokhammad A. 9. Stefanovich I. 1. Svinov I. (G) 13. Terentjev D. 22. Titkov N. 21. Zazvonkin I.
Coaches
Novikov K.	Talalaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Shiltsov K. 🟨,
40', Saus V. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Emelyanov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lisakovich V. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,
46', Saus V. ↓, Mokhammad A. ↑,
56', Andrade K. 🟨,
59', Petrov I. ↓, Appaev K. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Osipov A. ⚽,
71', Magomedov R. ↓, Aliev S. ↑,
72', Pershin M. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Kovalev Y. ⚽,
81', Shiltsov K. ↓, Rodin D. ↑,
81', Kovalev Y. ↓, Terentjev D. ↑,
85', Eldarushev A. ↓, Begun D. ↑,
90+2', Mokhammad A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Neftekhimik won 0.

Recent matches Neftekhimik is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baltika is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Neftekhimik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Baltika will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Neftekhimik won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:7 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Neftekhimik won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
03.11.24	Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
27.10.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTTWT
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
03.11.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
29.10.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ural	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL
26.10.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ural	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Shinnik - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.24	Torpedo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
06.10.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0
29.04.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0
09.10.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:2
17.11.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0
08.08.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0
28.04.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1
01.11.20	Baltika Kaliningrad - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1

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