Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	Q Sport Asia
North Macedonia	20:00	MaxTV GO
Russia	21:00	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	20:00	Arena Sport 2


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Rostov

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.03	3.75
	2.25	3	3.7
	2.22	3.07	3.78	Watch
	2.13	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.04)	3 ↓ (3.35)	3.68 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
42.6%

Draw
31.6%

Rostov
25.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Baltika Kaliningrad - Rostov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Baltika (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baltika (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Latyshonok E. (G) 22. Beveev M. 21. Anderson E. 24. Mouyokolo L. 4. Gassama N. 77. Civic E. (C) 69. Golenkov E. 26. Belikov I. 10. Petrov I. 7. Shiltsov K. 91. Gil B.	84. Petrov A. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 3. Sako O. 40. Ygor Nogueira 87. Langovich A. 8. Mironov A. 27. Prokhin D. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 10. Komarov I. 99. Suleymanov T. 6. Olusegun O.
Substitutes
98. Iva G. 3. Kirsch I. 14. Kovac S. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Moufi F. 9. Offor C. 73. Petrov M. 11. Porokhov I. 42. Pospelov V. 68. Ryadno M. 2. Varatynov S.	73. Aznaurov I. 59. Babakin N. 78. Chistyakov D. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 26. Khlusevich D. 5. Mikhailov Y. 16. Mukhin M. 7. Ronaldo 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 21. Shantaliy D. 1. Yatimov R. (G)
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Kirichenko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Anderson E. ↓, Varatynov S. ↑,
60', Golenkov E. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
62', Komarov I. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
74', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
74', Civic E. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
77', Prokhin D. 🟨,
83', Olusegun O. ↓, Aznaurov I. ↑,
83', Suleymanov T. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
90', Shiltsov K. ↓, Kovac S. ↑,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th and 13th in the Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 1.

In recent outings, Baltika has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Rostov has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Baltika may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Baltika holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Baltika: Filin A. (Knee Injury) Mendel A. (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Rostov: Zhbanov I. (Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Baltika has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Baltika against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Rostov	12	4	3	5	13:17	-4	15
9	Baltika	12	3	5	4	15:13	2	14

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

FK Rostov: 0.84% Baltika: 0.84%

Last Results with these Odds

Baltika Kaliningrad - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.27%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Rostov - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.16%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Cup
14.10.26	Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
11.10.26	Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Fakel - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLTL
- FC Rostov
Russian Cup
14.10.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	4:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
09.10.26	Rostov - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Rostov - Krasnodar	0:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
17.09.26	Rostov - Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
07.03.26	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1
21.09.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rostov	0:0
19.05.24	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1
Russian Cup
02.05.24	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1
Russian Premier League
16.09.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rostov	2:2
Club Friendly
07.02.13	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1

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