The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fakel 25.3%
Draw 33.3%
Baltika Kaliningrad 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.7%
28.6%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
26.8%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Fakel - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 20. Yurganov I. 40. Clayton Sampaio 53. Bardachev M. 5. Gabaraev A. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 23. Yakimov V. 17. Kovalev A. 7. Turishchev M. 90. Koksharov A. 11. Sutormin A.
1. Latyshonok E. (G) 22. Beveev M. 2. Varatynov S. 24. Mouyokolo L. 21. Anderson E. 4. Gassama N. 42. Pospelov V. 8. Mendel A. (C) 5. Mourid A. 73. Petrov M. 91. Gil B.
Substitutes
8. Bagamaev A. 25. Belyaev A. 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 22. El Mhassani H. 99. Giorgobiani N. 9. Gnapi Dable A. 97. Magomedov B. 19. Pusi B. 55. Todorovic D. 44. Zhuravlev Y.
26. Belikov I. 77. Civic E. 69. Golenkov E. 3. Kirsch I. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 9. Offor C. 10. Petrov I. 68. Ryadno M. 7. Shiltsov K. 19. Shnaptsev M.
Coaches
Vasilenko O.
Talalaev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Mendel A. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Netfullin R. ⚽, Sutormin A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Petrov M. ↓, Petrov I. ↑,
46', Sutormin A. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
46', Pospelov V. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
46', Beveev M. ↓, Shnaptsev M. ↑,
47', Anderson E. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Magomedov B. ⚽,
65', Mendel A. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
65', Gassama N. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
68', Koksharov A. ↓, Gnapi Dable A. ↑,
68', Turishchev M. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Golenkov E. ⚽, Gil B. (A),
76', Kovalev A. ↓, Todorovic D. ↑,
82', Mouyokolo L. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Gil B. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Gnapi Dable A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2.
Fakel has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Baltika has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Baltika has had a series of home games.
Baltika will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Baltika: Filin A.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
Asia
Russia
Watch
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Frolkin D. (G) 
Clayton Sampaio 
Kovalev A. 
Mouyokolo L. 
Anderson E. 
Gassama N. 
Mourid A. 
Gil B. 
Pusi B. 
Todorovic D. 
Offor C. 
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