Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 5

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Saratov)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)


	Sokol Saratov		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	3.27	3.14	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.59)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Saratov
28.7%

Draw
29.9%

Baltika Kaliningrad
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

30.9%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

31.7%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Sokol Saratov - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kosarevskiy P. (G) 56. Chobanov R. 8. Dudiev A. (C) 69. Ermolin R. 88. Guz A. 13. Ivanov D. 55. Maksimenko A. 20. Poluboyarinov D. 77. Sasin D. 51. Sinyak A. 28. Zabelin P.	67. Borisko M. (G) 10. Alex Fernandes 16. Andrade K. 59. Avanesyan T. 4. Gassama N. 23. Glushkov N. 96. Mokhammad A. 18. Nikishin K. 5. Osipov A. (C) 19. Pryakhin S. 13. Terentjev D.
Substitutes
23. Churikov I. 59. Kaplenko N. 92. Karpitskiy E. 18. Kobakhidze V. 1. Kraykov T. (G) 27. Molodtsov A. 10. Saaduev S. 9. Shpitalnyi V.	57. Begun D. 70. Eldarushev A. 3. Kalachev I. 11. Kovalev Y. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 7. Malyarov K. 95. Petrov I. 17. Saus V. 9. Stefanovich I. 1. Svinov I. (G) 22. Titkov N. 21. Zazvonkin I.
Coaches
Baga A.	Grishchenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ermolin R. ↓, Karpitskiy E. ↑,
46', Osipov A. ↓, Petrov I. ↑,
58', Nikishin K. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
58', Alex Fernandes ↓, Saus V. ↑,
62', Sasin D. ↓, Churikov I. ↑,
66', Terentjev D. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,
67', Poluboyarinov D. ↓, Saaduev S. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Eldarushev A. ⚽,
76', Chobanov R. ↓, Shpitalnyi V. ↑,
79', Pryakhin S. 🟨,
88', Mokhammad A. ↓, Malyarov K. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Churikov I. ⚽,
90+1', Churikov I. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sokol Saratov won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Baltika could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Baltika will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sokol Saratov won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sokol Saratov won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
03.08.24	Ural - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Sokol Saratov - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Sokol Saratov	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.24	Krylya Sovetov - Sokol Saratov	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWWTL
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
02.08.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ufa	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
14.05.17	Baltika Kaliningrad - Sokol Saratov	1:0
Club Friendly
31.01.17	Sokol Saratov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2
Russian FNL
30.10.16	Sokol Saratov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0
12.03.16	Baltika Kaliningrad - Sokol Saratov	0:0
17.08.15	Sokol Saratov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1
25.04.15	Baltika Kaliningrad - Sokol Saratov	1:1
05.10.14	Sokol Saratov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1

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