Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 6

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Location: Volgograd Arena (Volgograd)

Referee: Fedorov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Rotor		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	3.12	3.05	2.44
	3.11	3.02	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
30.3%

Draw
31%

Baltika Kaliningrad
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

32%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-1%)

Rotor - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Chagrov N. (G) 63. Ageev M. 57. Bolotov E. 31. Kasimov T. 24. Maltsev M. 19. Plotnikov N. 12. Prishchepa D. 28. Semenov A. 5. Shumskikh A. (C) 3. Shvetsov M. 18. Tyurin V.	1. Svinov I. (G) 10. Alex Fernandes 16. Andrade K. 59. Avanesyan T. (C) 70. Eldarushev A. 4. Gassama N. 23. Glushkov N. 96. Mokhammad A. 19. Pryakhin S. 13. Terentjev D. 21. Zazvonkin I.
Substitutes
1. Averkiev V. (G) 7. Kamlashev D. 44. Kucharcuk I. 95. Lutsev A. 9. Morozov V. 78. Mukhin E. 27. Pliev Z. 17. Shilnikov G. 10. Sokolov I. 97. Talikin D. 11. Usanov A. 6. Zavezen Y.	25. Bozov N. 3. Kalachev I. 8. Kaplenko K. 11. Kovalev Y. 2. Luna D. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Nikishin K. 5. Osipov A. 95. Petrov I. 17. Saus V. 9. Stefanovich I. 22. Titkov N.
Coaches
Boyarintsev D.	Grishchenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Avanesyan T. 🟨,
37', Plotnikov N. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Shumskikh A. ⚽,
41', Kasimov T. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bolotov E. 🟨,
48', Maltsev M. 🟥,
54', Zazvonkin I. ↓, Saus V. ↑,
54', Terentjev D. ↓, Petrov I. ↑,
55', Ageev M. ↓, Pliev Z. ↑,
58', Plotnikov N. ↓, Zavezen Y. ↑,
58', Bolotov E. ↓, Talikin D. ↑,
62', Avanesyan T. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,
70', Tyurin V. ↓, Kucharcuk I. ↑,
80', Mokhammad A. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
80', Alex Fernandes ↓, Titkov N. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Kucharcuk I. ⚽,
90+1', Shilnikov G. 🟨,
90+3', Stefanovich I. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotor won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Rotor won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Rotor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
11.08.24	Tyumen - Rotor	0:1 ✺
04.08.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rotor	1:0 ✺
29.07.24	Rotor - Arsenal Tula	0:1 ✺
22.07.24	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Shinnik - Rotor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLLTW
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
10.08.24	Sokol Saratov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ufa	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
21.11.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rotor	2:1
14.08.21	Rotor - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1
Club Friendly
25.06.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rotor	3:1
Russian FNL
21.09.19	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rotor	2:1
07.04.19	Rotor - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0
19.09.18	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rotor	1:1
17.03.18	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rotor	1:0

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