Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Russia	Match TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rodina Moscow		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	3.98	3.42	2.05
	3.9	3.3	2
	4.04	3.57	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.35	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.2)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
24.5%

Draw
28%

Baltika Kaliningrad
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.3%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

26.9%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Baltika will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 88. Sokol A. 75. Nade M. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 3. Goglichidze L. 80. Bessmertniy S. 6. Fishchenko R. 8. Pozo I. 9. Maksimenko A. 7. Onugkha G. 10. Reyna Y.	1. Latyshonok E. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 24. Mouyokolo L. 21. Anderson E. 22. Beveev M. 5. Mourid A. 8. Mendel A. (C) 4. Gassama N. 42. Pospelov V. 11. Titkov N. 91. Gil B.
Substitutes
1. Aydarov S. (G) 17. Bakaev S. 95. Cissoko K. 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 77. Gharibyan A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 55. Krizan M. 38. Musaev L. 19. Tananeev D. 99. Timoshenko I. 23. Ushatov K.	26. Belikov I. 3. Kirsch I. 14. Kovac S. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Moufi F. 9. Offor C. 10. Petrov I. 73. Petrov M. 68. Ryadno M. 7. Shiltsov K. 15. Yenne T.
Coaches
Diaz J.	Talalaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Mourid A. ⚽,
26', Mourid A. 🟨,
30', Beveev M. 🟨,
44', Mendel A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
46', Sokol A. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
53', Mendel A. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
53', Mourid A. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
57', Pozo I. 🟨,
70', Fishchenko R. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
72', Pospelov V. ↓, Moufi F. ↑,
72', Petrov M. 🟨,
73', Reyna Y. 🟨,
74', 0 - 2, Offor C. ⚽, Petrov M. (A),
77', Titkov N. 🟨,
77', Maksimenko A. ↓, Timoshenko I. ↑,
78', Pozo I. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
78', Meshchaninov A. 🟨,
83', Nade M. ↓, Krizan M. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Petrov M. ⚽, Titkov N. (A),
88', Titkov N. ↓, Shiltsov K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rodina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Baltika could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Baltika: Filin A. (Knee Injury) Shnaptsev M. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Rodina Moscow: 0.84% Baltika: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14:12	2	11
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	10:22	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian Premier League
23.08.26	Dynamo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Orenburg	1:4 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:3 ✺
09.08.26	Zenit - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.6 LLTWW
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League
24.08.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.08.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
05.08.26	Zenit - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
23.11.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rodina Moscow	2:1
14.07.24	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0
07.04.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rodina Moscow	0:0
18.09.22	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2
Club Friendly
10.07.20	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rodina Moscow	1:2

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