Match Info
Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finalsDate: 24 July 2025, ThursdayLocation: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 2 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
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Baník Ostrava |
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Legia Warsaw |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.45 |
3.25 |
2.75 |
 Watch |
 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
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 |
2.38 |
3.35 |
2.78 |
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 |
2.5 |
3.39 |
2.72 |
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 |
2.50 |
3.43 |
2.69 |
Watch |
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2.4 |
3.1 |
2.75 |
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 |
2.45 |
3.5 |
2.88 |
Watch |
 |
2.28 |
3.33 |
2.83 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.33) |
3.33 ↓
(3.46) |
2.78 ↓
(3.09) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Baník Ostrava
38.5% | Draw
28% | Legia Warsaw
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.9%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 16 - 55.2%). Legia will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 37.1% – 73.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Legia (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Legia (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Legia (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 8 - 50%). Legia (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
30.  Holec D. (G)
17.  Frydrych M. (C)
37. Chalus M.
6. Pojezny K.
9. Buchta D.
5. Boula J.
12. Rigo T.
95. Holzer D.
10. Sin M.
28. Kubala F.
33. Prekop E.
| 1.  Tobiasz K. (G)
7. Wszolek P.
24. Ziolkowski J.
3.  Kapuadi S.
19.  Vinagre R.
67. Kapustka B. (C)
8. Augustyniak R.
22.  Elitim J.
11. Chodyna K.
17.  Shkurin I.
25.  Morishita R.
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| Substitutes |
77. Almasi L.
1. Budinsky V. (G)
7.  Ewerton
8. Frydek Ch.
99.  Kornezos G.
15.  Kpozo P.
41. Kubny M. (G)
11. Latal D.
19. Lischka D.
31.  Munksgaard A.
25.  Owusu D.
22. Zlatohlavek T.
| 9.  Alfarela M.
21.  Bichakhchyan V.
4.  Burch M.
5. Goncalves C.
28.  Gual M.
55. Jedrzejczyk A.
27. Kobylak G. (G)
23. Kun P.
18.  Nsame J.
12.  Pankov R.
30.  Stojanovic P.
53. Urbanski W.
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| Coaches |
Hapal P.
|  Iordanescu E.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Sin M. ⚽, Kubala F. (A),
- 16', Boula J. 🟨,
- 22', Kubala F. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
- 32', 1 - 1, Kapustka B. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
- 62', Shkurin I. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Frydrych M. ⚽, Sin M. (A),
- 74', Morishita R. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 74', Chodyna K. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
- 82', Holzer D. ↓, Kpozo P. ↑,
- 82', Sin M. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
- 82', Kapustka B. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Nsame J. ⚽, Elitim J. (A),
- 90+1', Prekop E. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
- 90+3', Bichakhchyan V. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg. Baník Ostrava has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Legia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match. The teams have not played against each other recently.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
