Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Barca TV, FEF TV


	Barakaldo		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.2	3.4
	2.37	3.4	2.45
	1.93	3.9	3.25
	1.86	3.99	3.55
	2.11	4.11	2.7	Watch
	1.86	4.23	3.4
	1.93	3.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.26)	3.96 ↑ (3.46)	3.14 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
47%

Draw
23.4%

Barcelona B
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barakaldo's performance.

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barakaldo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Barakaldo - Barcelona B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barakaldo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barcelona B will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tena J. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 15. Muguruza A. 12. Artetxe M. 4. Jelbat A. 8. Huidobro J. 5. Molina E. 7. Pedernales I. 14. Txoperena U. 11. Revilla A. 9. Valino A.	1. Astralaga A. (G) 32. Farre L. 23. Olmedo A. 14. Cortes A. 37. Torrents J. 45. Virgili J. 16. Fernandez T. 39. Soma P. 20. Fernandez G. 19. Dacosta R. 24. Bikoue
Substitutes
23. Bilbao L. 22. Bujan U. 19. Isuskiza V. 20. Martinez J. 6. Naveira U. 13. Perez U. (G) 18. Santiago P. 21. Uriarte K.	22. Anaya J. 21. Darvich N. 5. Dominguez S. 10. Godoy A. 13. Kochen D. (G) 17. Lopez R. 25. Oduro D. 9. Percan 2. Trilli

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Fernandez T. ⚽,
31', Olmedo A. 🟨,
43', Astralaga A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Molina E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dacosta R. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
50', Txoperena U. 🟨,
63', Txoperena U. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
63', Huidobro J. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
63', Fernandez G. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
66', Fernandez T. 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Godoy A. ⚽,
75', Molina E. 🟨,
76', Torrents J. ↓, Darvich N. ↑,
76', Virgili J. ↓, Dominguez S. ↑,
78', Jelbat A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
78', Molina E. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
82', Valino A. ↓, Bujan U. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Barakaldo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barcelona B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.25	Leonesa - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Barakaldo - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Barakaldo - Sestao	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Osasuna B - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTLL
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.25	Barcelona B - FC Andorra	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Lugo - Barcelona B	0:4 ✺
26.04.25	Barcelona B - Amorebieta	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Real Unión de Irun - Barcelona B	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Barcelona B - Sestao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Barcelona B - Barakaldo	2:2

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