Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff (Barcelona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	3Cat, Barca TV, Esport3, FEF TV


	Barcelona B		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.75
	1.47	4	5.25
	1.5	4.2	5.6
	1.51	4.34	5.79
	1.49	4.17	5.6	Watch
	1.48	4.2	5.94
	1.5	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.73)	4.1 ↑ (3.51)	5.65 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
61.4%

Draw
22.4%

Amorebieta
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona B's performance.

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Barcelona B - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astralaga A. (G) 37. Torrents J. 23. Olmedo A. 2. Trilli 14. Cortes A. 19. Dacosta R. 39. Soma P. 8. Garrido A. (C) 24. Bikoue 16. Fernandez T. 45. Virgili J.	1. Marino U. (G) 20. Coto E. 22. Yuste A. 5. Amelibia J. 4. Kortazar M. 17. Munoz I. 14. Ben Hamed N. 3. Camacho S. 12. Sola J. 8. Vicandi A. 21. Marin A.
Substitutes
21. Darvich N. 20. Fernandez G. 31. Kochen D. (G) 17. Lopez R. 4. Mbacke M. 25. Oduro D. 12. Piera J. 7. Rodriguez D.	40. Azkuna J. 10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 23. Calavera J. 18. Coulibaly A. 11. Hervias P. 16. Masllorens J. 25. Montoya J. (G) 24. Perez E. 7. Selma D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Amelibia J. ⚽,
41', Coto E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Soma P. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
58', Dacosta R. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
61', Marin A. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Munoz I. ⚽,
73', Trilli ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
73', Torrents J. ↓, Mbacke M. ↑,
75', Sola J. ↓, Masllorens J. ↑,
75', Camacho S. ↓, Hervias P. ↑,
75', Munoz I. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
83', Garrido A. ↓, Darvich N. ↑,
86', Perez E. 🟨,
89', Vicandi A. ↓, Bravo Fernandez M. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Barcelona B is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amorebieta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Barcelona B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.25	Real Unión de Irun - Barcelona B	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Barcelona B - Sestao	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Celta de Vigo B - Barcelona B	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Barcelona B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWLWT
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.25	Amorebieta - Zamora	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.11.24	Amorebieta - Barcelona B	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.02.23	Barcelona B - Amorebieta	1:1
18.09.22	Amorebieta - Barcelona B	0:0

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