Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)


	Ponferradina		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	2.95
	2.15	2.89	4.07
				Watch
	2.08	2.97	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.33)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	3.6 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
42.7%

Draw
31.6%

FC Andorra
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ponferradina - FC Andorra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 3. Novoa G. 19. Lopez A. 24. Doue M. 22. Esquerdo V. 9. Cabanzon Y. 10. Valle B. (C) 15. Bustos A. 12. Ferrer P.	1. Ratti N. (C) 24. Casadesus P. 8. Moran E. 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 20. Vila M. 10. Alvaro 14. Molina S. 12. Villahermosa D. 19. Almpanis C. 9. Nieto M. 11. Lauti
Substitutes
2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 21. Cortes J. 20. Costa A. 6. Fernandez B. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 5. Lancho J. 16. Lozano M. 11. Mula A. 18. Ramon A.	26. Achhiba B. 23. Alende D. 32. Blanco P. (G) 3. Busquets O. 21. Cerda J. 17. Clemente J. 7. Fuentes J. 5. Morgado C. 16. Pena A. 15. Redondo L. 27. Rodriguez I. 4. Trigueros P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Valle B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', (Pen),
56', 0 - 1, Lauti ⚽,
65', Moran E. ↓, Alende D. ↑,
65', Almpanis C. ↓, Cerda J. ↑,
66', Lopez A. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
66', Esquerdo V. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
69', Fuentes J. 🟨,
74', Doue M. ↓, Lancho J. ↑,
74', Novoa G. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
75', Alende D. 🟨,
77', Ferrer P. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
78', Vila M. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
79', Lauti 🟨,
81', Alvaro ↓, Pena A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

Ponferradina is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Andorra has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.06.25	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Ponferradina - Antequera	2:1 ET ✺
31.05.25	Antequera - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Sestao - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Ponferradina - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLWW
- FC Andorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.06.25	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Ibiza - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	FC Andorra - Sestao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.06.25	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	1:1
26.01.25	Ponferradina - FC Andorra	1:0
15.09.24	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
22.04.23	Ponferradina - FC Andorra	1:4
29.10.22	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	3:0

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