Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	CD Guadalajara		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.12	3.15	3.3
	2.25	3.1	3.55
	2.63	2.52	3.36	Watch
	2.16	3.13	3.37
	2.05	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.23)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.34 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
41.8%

Draw
30.5%

Barakaldo
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zarco A. (G) 16. Cera 4. Ablanque J. (C) 5. Gallardo D. 18. Martinez J. 11. Alvarez U. 6. Rojo P. 14. Tavares R. 7. Neskes 24. Caropitche S. M. 19. Munoz P.	1. Ispizua I. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 18. Arana M. 4. Dufur U. 16. Lopez O. 20. Mandiang S. 8. Huidobro J. (C) 6. Naveira U. 11. Perez E. 21. San Bartolome V. 19. Galarza A.
Substitutes
9. Canizo A. 23. Casado J. 20. Diaz B. 21. Ramirez M. 15. Rodriguez V. 22. Samuel 28. Verdu M. 13. Vicente D. (G)	23. Albizua U. 13. Campos G. (G) 17. de Leon J. 3. Garcia B. 15. Jimenez I. 5. Molina E. 14. Munoz I. 7. Pedernales I. 24. Ropero I. 10. Sabin 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Ablanque J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', de Jesus B. 🟨,
60', Perez E. 🟨,
62', 🟨,
63', Mandiang S. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
63', Huidobro J. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
69', Martinez J. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Lopez O. (Pen),
79', Neskes ↓, Canizo A. ↑,
80', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
80', San Bartolome V. ↓, Jimenez I. ↑,
86', Sabin 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Canizo A. ⚽,
90+3', Molina E. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 6).

Guadalajara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barakaldo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barakaldo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guadalajara will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.25	Arenteiro - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Real Avilés	3:4 ✺
26.09.25	Ferrol - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Ponferradina - CD Guadalajara	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	CD Guadalajara - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLTWW
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.10.25	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Barakaldo - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.02.16	Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara	3:2
19.09.15	CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo	0:1
19.04.15	CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo	0:4
30.11.14	Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara	1:0

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