The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barcelona 55%
Draw 24.6%
Manchester United 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
23.1%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.6%
22.2%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.8%
6.5%
18.7%
Barcelona - Manchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
155 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 116 - 74.8%). Man Utd will win (votes: 29 - 18.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 6.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 68% – 81.6%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Barcelona was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (67%), has a good chance of qtrs (55%), has a chance of semis (42%), has a chance of final (31%), has a chance of win league (21%), has currently - , has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
Man Utd was already of knockout phase, has a chance of round of 16 (33%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (5%), has currently - 15, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
This event has big quality84, very big importance100, very big match rating92. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Two teams got a triumph in the latest matches.
Man Utd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Man Utd have a series of home games.
In this match Barcelona is a favorite.
There will not play in Barcelona: Busquets S.
(Ankle Injury)
Dembele O.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Man Utd: Eriksen C.
(Ankle Injury)
Greenwood M.
(Inactive)
Martial A.
(Injury)
Martinez Li.
(Yellow Cards)
McTominay S.
(Injury)
Sabitzer M.
(Yellow Cards)
van de Beek D.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Man Utd: Antony
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Barcelona to win the game is with odds 1.76.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
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