Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Amorebieta		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.88	2.55
	2.85	3	2.25
	2.9	3.15	2.4
	2.63	3.4	2.52
	2.8	3.33	2.32
	2.89	3.08	2.43
	2.85	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.67)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	2.42 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
32.8%

Draw
29.2%

Zamora
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

29.6%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Amorebieta - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino U. (C) 23. Calavera J. 5. Amelibia J. 22. Yuste A. 24. Perez E. 14. Ben Hamed N. 18. Coulibaly A. 12. Sola J. 11. Hervias P. 8. Vicandi A. 17. Munoz I.	1. Sobron F. (G) 23. Campabadal E. 16. Gutierrez C. 6. Ramirez J. 3. Nieto S. 15. Lucero R. 14. Kike 4. Claveria P. 10. Ramos C. (C) 20. Tresaco R. 9. Pito Camacho
Substitutes
40. Azkuna J. 35. Benito U. 10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 20. Coto E. 4. Kortazar M. 16. Masllorens J. 25. Montoya J. (G) 7. Selma D. 28. Yaniz P.	13. Altube D. (G) 5. Alvarez A. 19. Bello E. 22. Castaneda J. 12. Frimpong E. 2. Gorjon A. 21. Priego J. 11. Romero Morillo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Lucero R. 🟨,
13', 🟨,
24', Perez E. 🟨,
33', Gutierrez C. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Tresaco R. ⚽, Kike (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Tresaco R. 🟨,
55', Kike 🟨,
60', Coulibaly A. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Tresaco R. ⚽,
73', Pito Camacho ↓, Romero Morillo A. ↑,
78', Hervias P. ↓, Coto E. ↑,
78', Perez E. ↓, Bravo Fernandez M. ↑,
81', Kike ↓, Frimpong E. ↑,
86', Frimpong E. 🟨,
90+2', Campabadal E. ↓, Gorjon A. ↑,
90+2', Tresaco R. ↓, Castaneda J. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Amorebieta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Zamora is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.04.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Amorebieta - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTT
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.04.25	Zamora - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Zamora - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Zamora - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Real Sociedad B - Zamora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.09.24	Zamora - Amorebieta	5:0

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