Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 29 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.7
	1.88	3.75	3.9
	1.97	3.68	3.9
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.9	3.78	3.78	Watch
	1.92	3.55	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)	3.61 ↓ (3.7)	3.76 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
49.3%

Draw
25.9%

Cerro Porteño
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burrai J. (G) 2. Mario Pineida 4. Rodriguez C. 3. Sosa L. 34. Portocarrero S. 13. Corozo J. 17. Gaibor F. 22. Souza de Almeida L. 18. Preciado A. 10. Diaz D. (C) 14. Fydriszewski F.	13. Jean (C) 23. Espinola A. 24. Patino Martinez J. 4. Eduardo Brock 14. Baez Corradi G. 8. Carrizo F. 22. Aquino C. 6. Carrascal R. 16. Bobadilla D. 20. Viera W. 19. Diego Churin
Substitutes
39. Acurio J. 32. Bauman J. 8. Cortez Casierra G. J. 11. Martinez F. 12. Mendoza V. (G) 15. Mina J. 7. Ortiz C. 20. Pinatares B. 29. Quinonez J. 21. Rendon G. 9. Rodriguez A. 31. Velasco P.	36. Alvarez Benitez P. 15. Cardozo A. 47. De Jesus R. 40. Fernandez F. 27. Galeano A. 29. Gavilan Romero I. E. 7. Gimenez E. 12. Martinez M. (G) 33. Peralta F. 26. Piris R. 17. Rivas L. 18. Samudio B.
Coaches
Bustos F.	Sava F.

Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Cerro Porteño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barcelona Guayaquil is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barcelona Guayaquil won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona Guayaquil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.06.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2 ✺
11.06.23	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.06.23	Palmeiras - Barcelona Guayaquil	4:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.06.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	1:3 ✺
28.05.23	El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.06.23	Tacuary - Cerro Porteño	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.06.23	Bolívar - Cerro Porteño	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.06.23	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
05.04.23	Cerro Porteño - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1
26.02.20	Cerro Porteño - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:4
19.02.20	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cerro Porteño	1:0

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