Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.55
	2.7	3.05	2.7
	2.93	3.07	2.66
	2.75	2.88	2.55
	2.94	3.06	2.54	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.56)	3.03 ↓ (3.06)	2.61 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
33.2%

Draw
30.9%

Estudiantes La Plata
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

30.9%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burrai J. (C) 29. Quinonez J. 16. Perlaza P. 3. Sosa L. 34. Portocarrero S. 13. Corozo J. 17. Gaibor F. 22. Souza de Almeida L. 11. Martinez F. 14. Fydriszewski F. 32. Bauman J.	21. Andujar M. (G) 18. Guasone J. 26. Lollo L. 4. Nunez S. 29. Godoy L. 5. Ascacibar S. 30. Rodriguez J. 13. Benedetti G. 16. Mendez M. 10. Rollheiser B. 9. Carrillo G.
Substitutes
39. Acurio J. 8. Cortez Casierra G. J. 26. Delgado Morales C. I. 10. Diaz D. 12. Mendoza V. (G) 15. Mina J. 6. Moran J. 20. Pinatares B. 18. Preciado A. 9. Rodriguez A. 4. Rodriguez C. 31. Velasco P.	17. Boselli M. 35. Fernandez N. 14. Mancuso E. 3. Mas E. 6. Munoz E. 28. Palavecino A. 22. Palavecino N. 19. Pellegrino M. 12. Sappa D. (G) 11. Veron D. 15. Zapiola F. 8. Zuqui F.
Coaches
Castillo S.	Dominguez E.

Preview

1st leg.

Barcelona Guayaquil is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estudiantes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barcelona Guayaquil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Estudiantes have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barcelona Guayaquil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona Guayaquil won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores
29.06.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cerro Porteño	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.06.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2 ✺
11.06.23	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.06.23	Palmeiras - Barcelona Guayaquil	4:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.06.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLL
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.07.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	0:0 ✺
05.07.23	Rosario Central - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.06.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Oriente Petrolero	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.06.23	Estudiantes La Plata - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
18.05.17	Barcelona Guayaquil - Estudiantes La Plata	0:3
11.04.17	Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2
21.04.15	Barcelona Guayaquil - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2
25.02.15	Estudiantes La Plata - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0

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