Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 8

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.8	8	Watch
	1.45	4.05	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.05	7.81
	1.45	4.3	6.96	Watch
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.46	3.84	8.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	3.94 ↓ (4.4)	7.39 ↑ (7.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
64%

Draw
23.5%

Leones del Norte
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.2%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Leones del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Leones del Norte will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 27. Vargas W. 33. Baez J. 14. Rangel A. (C) 12. Mina J. 23. Martinez T. 35. Intriago J. 21. Villalba H. 32. Lugo M. 7. Gomez J. 9. Benedetto D.	24. Angulo J. L. (G) 32. Aguas A. 2. Moran J. 23. Monserrat N. 25. Kreiman B. 34. Portocarrero S. 19. Pepinos E. 6. Griffa E. 13. Cabeza J. 8. Velez C. 40. Anangono J. (C)
Substitutes
16. Cano L. 18. Carabali B. 26. Castillo B. 8. Celiz M. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 70. Mejia M. 5. Montano C. 80. Nunez S. 11. Parrales M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 4. Vallecilla G.	9. Arrieta S. 55. Borja R. 50. Caicedo M. 27. Caicedo Nestor 11. Caramuto M. 16. De La Cruz M. 17. Mairongo J. 20. Mendez M. 44. Mina K. 45. Nazareno L. (G) 99. Solano C. 3. Vargas F.
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Mendez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Gomez J. ⚽,
44', Kreiman B. ↓, Arrieta S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Intriago J. 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Pepinos E. ⚽,
57', Arrieta S. 🟥,
62', Griffa E. 🟨,
66', Gomez J. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
66', Intriago J. ↓, Celiz M. ↑,
66', Martinez T. ↓, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↑,
66', Villalba H. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
77', Griffa E. ↓, Borja R. ↑,
77', Cabeza J. ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
79', Benedetto D. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
82', Monserrat N. 🟨,
84', Pepinos E. ↓, Mairongo J. ↑,
84', Anangono J. ↓, Mina K. ↑,
90+3', Angulo J. L. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barcelona is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTTT
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.26	Leones del Norte - Delfín	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Leones del Norte - LDU Quito	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Leones del Norte	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLTL

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