Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN 7, ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, DSports, ESPN 2, ESPN 7
Ecuador	ESPN 2, ESPN 7
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN 7
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 7, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 7, Inter


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.35	Watch
	3.25	2.88	2.42	Watch
	3.45	2.95	2.42
	3.24	3.11	2.37	Watch
	3.25	2.8	2.38
	3.35	2.95	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.23)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	2.38 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
28.4%

Draw
32%

Cruzeiro
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

30.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

30.1%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Barcelona (2.09) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 14. Rangel A. 33. Baez J. 3. Sosa L. 4. Vallecilla G. 8. Celiz M. 32. Lugo M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 16. Cano L. 9. Benedetto D.	31. Matheus Cunha (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 6. Kaiki 11. Gerson 16. Lucas Silva (C) 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 88. Christian 19. Kaio Jorge
Substitutes
26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 7. Gomez J. 35. Intriago J. 23. Martinez T. 12. Mina J. 5. Montano C. 80. Nunez S. 11. Parrales M. 27. Vargas W. 21. Villalba H.	91. Chico 77. Japa 43. Joao Marcelo 2. Kaua Moraes 36. Kaua Prates 70. Kenji 8. Matheus Henrique 81. Otavio Costa (G) 25. Villalba L. 22. Villarreal N. 94. Wanderson 12. William Furtado
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Artur Jorge

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Matheus Pereira ⚽, Fagner (A),
61', Arroyo K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
64', Gerson ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
69', Celiz M. 🟨,
71', Sosa L. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
71', Celiz M. ↓, Intriago J. ↑,
74', Kaio Jorge ↓, Chico ↑,
75', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Villalba L. ↑,
79', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
80', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
80', Vallecilla G. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
86', Cano L. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
90+6', Kaiki 🟨,

Preview

Barcelona is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cruzeiro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Barcelona has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio (Knee Injury) Marquinhos (Knee Injury) Sinisterra L. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Garcia J. (Injury) Rojas J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Cruzeiro: 5.59%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 WTTTW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	4:1 ✺
01.04.26	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cruzeiro - Santos	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWTLT

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