Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 12

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Manta

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.34	4.4	7.25
	1.37	4.35	7.9	Watch
	1.38	4.55	8.89
	1.36	4.58	8.7	Watch
	1.33	3.9	8
	1.37	4.43	8.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.42)	4.34 ↑ (4.13)	8.31 ↑ (8.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
67.7%

Draw
21.2%

Manta
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

22.6%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

21.4%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Barcelona Guayaquil will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 27. Vargas W. 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 3. Sosa L. 15. Perlaza J. 26. Castillo B. (C) 35. Intriago J. 23. Martinez T. 70. Mejia M. 51. Wila J. 63. Caidedo K.	12. Zambrano F. (G) 45. Cuero I. 16. Quintero D. 24. Moscarelli O. 20. Chala J. 19. Alman J. (C) 70. Nazareno J. 5. Ramirez B. 6. Jimenez J. 27. Troya J. 9. Blanco J.
Substitutes
33. Baez J. 9. Benedetto D. 18. Carabali B. 8. Celiz M. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 7. Gomez J. 20. Medina C. 12. Mina J. 5. Montano C. 11. Parrales M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 21. Villalba H.	17. Angulo J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 18. Beltramone E. 7. Cabezas D. 1. Chavez W. (G) 23. Medina A. 4. Nazareno J. 21. Ortiz M. 52. Rialpe J. 8. Valencia M.
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Carvajal Burgos J. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Blanco J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
42', Quintero D. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 0, Castillo B. (Penalty Awarded),
45+7', Ramirez B. 🟥,
45+9', Angulo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alman J. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
48', Vargas W. 🟨,
59', Troya J. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
71', Caidedo K. ↓, Benedetto D. ↑,
71', Castillo B. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
71', Martinez T. ↓, Celiz M. ↑,
73', Gomez J. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Angulo J. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Wila J. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
77', Mejia M. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
89', Angulo J. ↓, Asagidigbi F. ↑,
90', Cuero I. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barcelona is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.3:0.5).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.04.26	Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Mushuc Runa	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Boca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL
- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.04.26	Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Leones del Norte - Manta	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Manta	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.06.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta	1:2
14.02.25	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:3
Club Friendly
21.01.25	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.07.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta	2:0
20.02.21	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:3
05.11.14	Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta	0:1
01.10.14	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:4

Upcoming Matches