Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 10

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.65	5.15	Watch
	1.64	3.8	5.77
	1.61	3.75	5.63	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.64	3.65	5.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)	3.66 ↑ (3.57)	5.41 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
57.6%

Draw
25.3%

Mushuc Runa
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

26.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Barcelona Guayaquil - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. 14. Rangel A. 4. Vallecilla G. 7. Gomez J. 32. Lugo M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 21. Villalba H. 11. Parrales M. 9. Benedetto D.	25. Formento R. (C) 26. Peralta K. 44. Gamboa M. 6. Negro B. 33. Hernandez J. 99. Angulo C. 18. Gonzalez J. 8. Zambrano A. 7. Minda T. 30. Ibarra R. 32. Orejuela C.
Substitutes
63. Caidedo K. 26. Castillo B. 8. Celiz M. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 35. Intriago J. 23. Martinez T. 70. Mejia M. 5. Montano C. 15. Perlaza J. 27. Vargas W. 51. Wila J.	12. Carabali F. 19. Carcelen J. 9. Carrillo R. 81. Castelli F. 50. Cusme J. 11. Dibble N. 2. Flor F. 37. Mancilla Quinones J. L. 42. Pabon W. (G) 17. Pico O. 77. Velasco K.
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Velez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Ibarra R. ⚽, Minda T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Vallecilla G. ⚽, Gomez J. (A),
56', Hernandez J. 🟨,
61', Gamboa M. 🟨,
66', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
68', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
68', Parrales M. ↓, Celiz M. ↑,
71', Minda T. ↓, Carabali F. ↑,
72', Orejuela C. ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
72', Ibarra R. ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
78', Villalba H. ↓, Wila J. ↑,
78', Gomez J. ↓, Caidedo K. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Carabali B. ⚽, Benedetto D. (A),
84', Benedetto D. ↓, Intriago J. ↑,
84', Angulo C. ↓, Dibble N. ↑,
87', Zambrano A. ↓, Castelli F. ↑,
90+3', Caidedo K. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.

Barcelona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mushuc Runa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:22. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2.4:0.5).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.04.26	Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Boca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWLW
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Manta	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Emelec	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Orense - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.06.25	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:5
23.02.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Mushuc Runa	1:0
01.12.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Mushuc Runa	2:2
02.06.24	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0
26.08.23	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2
01.04.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Mushuc Runa	1:0
Club Friendly
07.02.23	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:3

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